Update November 8th From DFSD Gary Renfrow

Good morning Team!

Mother Nature continues to be a Mother…thank you all for your continued dedicated service. Airport operations are slow this morning, but picking up the pace to be back on schedule for the afternoon, so thank you all for slugging your way in!

For those that are in need, we have fueling operations daily between 0700 and 2000 until further advised. As a reminder, here are the rules:

• 1.        Limit of 5 gallons of gas per person.
• 2.       Must have less than one quarter tank of gas.
• 3.       Must come on your way to work, or while leaving from your shift. Lateness to work due to waiting on the gas line will not be excused.
• 4.       Must have either SIDA ID or Government ID on your person.
• 5.       CANNOT be on the Mass Transit Benefits list.
• 6.       No walk-ups with gas cans. You must drive your vehicle up to the tank.
• 7.       No gas for personal use – Gas is for Mission Critical use only (i.e. driving to work).
• 8.       Be prepared to offer basic information requested by Fueling Team for record keeping purposes.
• 9.       Gas will be given out at: 230-59 Rockaway Blvd Hanger door #21.
• 10.   Gas provided for POVs is Regular Unleaded gas only.
• 11.   Limit of one POV per employee.

Any exceptions to these rules must be approved by me or the FSD. Any abuse/misuse/unprofessional conduct may result in loss of privilege or disciplinary action. This policy will remain in effect until further advised.

Last item. Supervisors, Managers, and payroll – please excuse any early departures from work yesterday afternoon/evening, and do not count early/late arrivals this morning and this afternoon against employees given the weather. Thank you all again for your continuing to “well and faithfully” secure America through JFK!

Honored to serve,

Gary Renfrow

DFSD

A Message from Acting FSD Mark Hatfield

Good afternoon team JFK,

I’m excited to be returning to NYC as your Acting FSD from Miami International.  First, please let me say a huge thank you! This has been a very difficult week for all of you, and a horrific one for those that have suffered significant losses...yet most of you are making it to work despite these challenges. While things are improving bit-by-bit, I know that gas remains scarce. I ask that those of you who have reasonable access to mass transportation to please continue taking advantage of that; and to those who can carpool to continue sharing the burden. However, there are many of you that I’m aware rely principally on your personal vehicle to get to work.  We have secured some emergency fuel to ease the pain but, we have very limited resources so I’ve put the following rules in place:

• 1.      Limit of 5 gallons of gas per person.
• 2.      Must have less than one quarter tank of gas.
• 3.      Must come on your way to work, or while leaving from your shift. Lateness to work due to waiting on the gas line will not be excused.
• 4.      Must have either SIDA ID or Government ID on your person.
• 5.      CANNOT be on the Mass Transit Benefits list.
• 6.      No walk-ups with gas cans. You must drive your vehicle up to the tank.
• 7.      No gas for personal use – Gas is for Mission Critical use only (i.e. driving to work).
• 8.      Be prepared to offer basic information requested by Fueling Team for record keeping purposes.
• 9.      Gas will be given out at: 230-59 Rockaway Blvd Hanger door #21.
• 10.  Gas provided for POVs is Regular Unleaded gas only.
• 11.  Limit of one POV per employee.

Any exceptions to these rules must be approved by me. Any abuse/misuse/unprofessional conduct may result in loss of privilege or disciplinary action. This policy will remain in effect until midnight tomorrow, Wednesday 7 November, and is subject to availability. We will keep you advised as best we can.

Again, I am truly excited to be here, proud to be a part of the JFK team, and proud of the tremendous effort and sacrifice that you have made to secure America through JFK over the past week. Keep it up, and I look forward to meeting all of you face-to-face over the next few weeks.

Sincerely,

Mark Hatfield Jr.

Acting FSD, JFK

A Message From DFSD Gary Renfrow 11/5/12

Good evening team,

More and more of you are getting electricity back, and more and more are getting gas – albeit not quickly, and not for many of you. You’re doing a great job of continuing to secure America through JFK while many are still struggling with loss, and we are trying to put you in touch with resources to get you through these difficult times. FEMA representatives are with us…they will be working in T5 from 1200 to 1800 tomorrow and Wednesday to assist you getting the help you need. I ask that Supervisors and Managers work hard to get officers in need to see them. When you come to see FEMA have the following information available to speed up the process:

·       Your Social Security number

·       Current and pre-disaster address

·       A telephone number where you can be contacted

·       Insurance information

·       Total household annual income

·       A routing and account number from your bank (only necessary if you want to have disaster assistance funds transferred directly into your bank account)  Lookup your bank routing number.

·       A description of your losses that were caused by the disaster

After you've completed your application for assistance, you will receive a FEMA application number. Write down this number and keep it for future reference.

It’s a start. We have accounted for all but one officer who is on annual leave (and we visited his home to find it in tact). Getting 100% accountability took the better part of a week because of poor telephone connectivity, incorrect or missing contact information, and officers who did not call in. 

Please, as we face more weather in the next 72 hours, please update your contact information in AIM immediately. 

Gas is still hard to find…please continue to maximize your use of carpooling and mass transportation this week and conserve the gas you have. As there were practically no takers for the Long Island shuttles, the last one will run this evening and we will stop trying and conserve our fuel. 

Our brothers and sisters across the country have done us a great favor in volunteering to help here at JFK, but as things become a bit more “normal”this week, we will release them to return to their families. Please join me in thanking them.

I couldn’t be prouder of the JFK team – many of you have reached out to your extended TSA family to assist. Thank you, and keep it up!

Honored to serve,

Gary Renfrow 

DFSD

Ttransportation Cancellation Effective 11/6/12

Transportation Cancellation Effective 11/6/12

Effective 11/6/12 we are suspending all rally point pick-ups for the below listed locations

Suffolk County/Long Island

· 0600 and 12:00: Route 110 (Broad hollow Rd.) and Farmingdale Rd.

· 0600 and 12:00: Route 25 (W. Jericho Turnpike) and Walt Whitman Rd.

Nassau County/Long Island

· 0600 am and 12:00: Old Country Rd. and Glen Cove Rd.

· 0600 am and 12:00: Peninsulas Blvd. and S. Franklin Ave

Important Information Regarding Monday November 5th

Transportation

Beginning  Monday November 5, 2012  TSA vans will pick up employees at the following locations and times.

Suffolk County/Long Island

·         0600 and 12:00: Route 110 (Broad hollow Rd.) and Farmingdale Rd.

·         0600 and 12:00: Route 25 (W. Jericho Turnpike) and Walt Whitman Rd.

Nassau County/Long Island

·         0600 am and 12:00: Old Country Rd. and Glen Cove Rd.

·         0600 am and 12:00: Peninsulas Blvd. and S. Franklin Ave.

For drop off TSA vans will pick up employees at Federal Circle at 1500 and 2100 to return to Suffolk and Nassau /County locations.

FEMA

FEMA will be at the JFK TSA offices (The Rock) on Monday November 5, 2012, at 1200pm to provide guidance and directions to our displaced employees and to assess any immediate needs.

Donations

Donation boxes are located in each Terminal in the TSA employee break rooms. Anyone who would like to donate blankets, clothing, non-perishable foods, batteries, flashlights, water, etc. can leave items in these containers. We will have a van come pick up boxes each day and bring items to a staging area at the Rock, where items will be organized and distributed.

TSA JFK Disaster Assistance Blog Created

All,

After the Day after Christmas Blizzard of 2010, JFK Ops management and I decided to create the TSA JFK Emergency Status Blog as a way to communicate with the workforce during an emergency situation. In the days leading up to Hurricane Sandy and during the storm, I was able to post important information from Senior FSD staff out to all JFK employee's. We have received very positive feedback about our ability to keep everyone informed, the proof being that over the last 7 days the blog has nearly 13,000 hits.

With that being said, in the days ahead, there will be tons of new information from local officals and TSA management that we will need to share. So as to not clog up the Emergency Status blog, we have created a new blog just for Hurricane Sandy assistance.

Here is the address..

WWW.TSAJFKDISASTERASSISTANCE.BLOGSPOT.COM

This new blog will be just as easy to use and access from either a computer or a smart phone. It will be updated often, so please check it whenever you can.

Also, i urge everyone who uses Twitter to follow the Coordination Center twitter account which is @TSAJFKOPS

Please let me know if you have any questions or concerns.

Thanks,

Anthony Stabile
IT Specialist
US Department of Homeland Security
Transportation Security Administration
JFK International Airport

Update from DFSD Renfrow Nov. 1st

Good evening, Team.

Awesome work today, and I know that none of it is easy for many of you with distractions and loss to deal with personally, so thank you. I have received many accolades from our visiting teams deployed here as well as the airport community today…keep it up! Tomorrow will be heavier.

We continue to work for 100% accountability, but we still have not been able to contact nearly 75 of our fellow officers.  We will not stop until we account for every TSA JFK employee.

Many of you have suffered significant damage and loss...our hearts go out to you. We’ve stood up a Damage Assessment and Assistance Team in our HR offices that will reach out to everyone that indicates that they’ve had severe damage to determine howwe might help. We’ve already begun to collect resource information and are in touch with FEMA to get some dedicated help for the TSA force here at JFK. If you have had significant damage, please call the Team at 718-917-3921, 718-917-3832, or come see them in person in the HR offices.

We will do everything that we can to assist you through these difficult times, and understand fully that life will not be back to normal for some of you for a very long time – let us help, and please help each other.

Honored to serve,

Gary Renfrow

DFSD

JFK Update 2 10/31/12

Good evening Team,

Fantastic job getting in and getting it done today! Unfortunately, the heat will really be turned on tomorrow and through the weekend as wethe rest of the airport community try to get all of the stranded folks to their destinations safely. You will notice TSA brothers and sisters from across the country flowing in tonight and tomorrow to assist as we feel the crunch of this difficult situation…hang in there over the next few days.

Good news is that mass transportation is quickly being revived…bad news is that we no longer get the opportunity to park at the terminals for free after tonight. We will continue to run the shuttles tonight and tomorrow and will reassess the need for them at the end of the day (Thursday 1 Nov).

Finding folks has been a challenge, and we still have no contact with about 400 of our team…a list of the names of those people will be distributed to the terminals tomorrow in hopes that some of you may either have better contact numbers or know how we might reach them…we will not stop until we get 100% accountability, even if it means canvassing areas to find them. Please help us out in this regard.

Many of you have already worked some long hours, and we are still days from getting closer to normal. We continue to ask you to serve to the extent that you can and will be offering a lot of overtime to get the mission done….please stay safe though.

Our priorities in the next couple of days are:  1) gain 100% accountability, 2) restore 100% security service at JFK, 3) assess the needs of those who’ve suffered significant loss (and there are many) and assist to the extent possible.

Thank you all for your service!

Honored to serve,

Gary Renfrow

DFSD

Latest MTA Info

LIRR

LIRR update: hrly service today restored btwn Jamaica & Atlantic Terminal, BK at 2PM

#LIRR update: starting tomorrow, LIRR customers can access bus shuttles from Barclays Center (Atlantic Terminal) to Manhattan

#LIRR’s goal: by rush hour tom restore hrly service on Ronkonkoma branch & Port Washington branch (from Great Neck) to Penn Station

Currently, primary obstacle for #LIRR to restoring service is restoration of power at substations along branches that feed the 3rd rail

More than 20 substations along #LIRR's branches remain without power

#LIRR update on fares: Off-Peak in effect on all trains until full service is restored // no onboard penalty fees will be charged

#LIRR customers advised to hold on to Oct. monthly tickets, which will be honored through Mon.

NYC Subway

#Subway update: 1 trains will operate local between 242nd Street (Bronx) and Times Square-42nd Street

#Subway update: 2 trains will operate between 241st Str (Bronx) & Times Square-42nd St, w express service btwn 96th St & Times Square

#Subway update: 4 trains will operate in 2 sections making all local stops btwn Woodlawn (Bronx) & 42nd St, btwn Borough Hall & New Lots Ave

#Subway update: 5 trains will operate express in BK between Atlantic Ave-Barclays Ctr & Flatbush Ave

#Subway update: 6 trains will operate local between Pelham Bay Park & Grand Central-42nd St

#Subway update: 7 trains suspended, 42nd St Shuttle S trains will operate btwn Times Square & Grand Central

#subway update: A trains will operate in 2 sections locally: btwn 168th St Manhattan & 34th St | btwn Jay Street & Lefferts Blvd.

#Subway update: 7, B, C, E, G, Q train service is still suspended

#subway update: F trains operate in 2 sections making all local stops: btwn 179th St (Queens) & 34th St | in BK, btwn Jay St & Ave X

#subway update: J trains operate btwn Jamaica Center & Hewes St mkg all local stops| M trains btwn Myrtle Ave-Broadway & Metropolitan Ave

#subway update: N trains operate btwn Ditmars Blvd. (Queens) & 34th St making all local stops

#subway update: R trains operate in BK btwn Jay St & 95th St making all local stops

Subways will be starting tomorrow morning, not 2PM today

All info provided by Governor Andrew Cuomo's office

Some MTA Service to Resume Tomorrow Nov. 1st

Governor Andrew M. Cuomo Announces Restoration of Limited Commuter Railroad and Subway Service

Governor Andrew M. Cuomo announced that beginning this afternoon, both Long Island Rail Road and Metro-North Railroad will begin to provide limited service on part of their respective networks. The Governor also announced that beginning Thursday morning, there will be limited subway service on several routes, supplemented by a bus shuttle between Downtown Brooklyn and Midtown. There will be no subway service between 34th St in Midtown and Downtown Brooklyn.  Earlier today, Local, Limited-Stop and Express Bus service began operating as close to a normal weekday schedule as possible. As was the case yesterday, bus service will operate on a fare-free basis today.  Access-A-Ride also began limited service today, as well as accepting reservations for travel after Noon tomorrow.

All of the bridges operated by MTA Bridges & Tunnels are open to traffic. The Hugh L. Carey and Queens Midtown Tunnels remain closed after suffering extensive flooding.

While both limited rail and subway service is being restored on a line by line and branch by branch basis, the work to restore full service on the commuter rail and subway network is ongoing. Thousands of MTA workers are still out across the entire 5,000 square mile MTA service region inspecting and repairing the damage caused the massively destructive storm of historic proportions. Metro-North Railroad is working to regain electric power and clear debris from on the Hudson Line and east to New Haven on the New Haven Line. The Long Island Rail Road continues to remove debris and make repairs to its West Side Yard and clear flooding in two East River tunnels. Both railroads spent the better part of Tuesday removing downed power lines and trees along the right of way, in addition to removing mud and other debris that washed up on to the tracks, including pleasure boats that washed ashore near the Ossining Station on the Hudson Line and the Island Park Station on the Long Beach branch.
Bridges and Tunnels suffered major damage with flooding of the Hugh L. Carey Tunnel from end to end and the Queens Midtown Tunnel also took on water.  Damage is extremely heavy in downtown Manhattan where several subway lines converge.  The South Ferry station was filled track to ceiling with water as were several of the subway tunnels. Water remediation work is continuing in several underwater tunnels.
It is still too early to say how long it will take to restore the system to full service. This is will be an exhaustive, time-consuming process with one goal: to restore safe and efficient service to 8.5 million daily MTA customers.  It must be noted, however, that this process could have taken much longer had we not taken the pre-emptive measure of suspending all service to safeguard our equipment and prepare facilities to the best of our ability.    

Transportation Update from DFSD Gary Renfrow

Good morning Team,

Because there are difficulties with some of the mass transit we have established the following transportation rally points:

Brooklyn – Broadway Junction Station

Queens – Jamaica Station

Bronx – Parkchester Station/177 Street

We will begin having van service from each of these locations departing every 2 hours beginning at 1400 today.  Also we encourage those who are driving to pass these locations on their way in and pickup employees on their way in. Finally, although the Air Train is still inoperative, there will be a Port Authority shuttle from the Long Term Parking lot until Air Train service is restored. 

Please continue to monitor the JFK website for the latest information: www.tsajfkemergencystatus.blogspot.com .

Honored to serve,

Gary Renfrow

DFSD

Status Update from DFSD Gary Renfrow

Hello again Team JFK,

The airport is opening tomorrow and we have officers coming in from across the country, but we are still short. Regardless of your RDOs, if you are able to get to work tomorrow, please do so – TSOs on the AM can report to your regularly assigned terminal at 1000, and TSOs on the PM can report in to your assigned terminals at 1500. Liberal overtime is available over the next few days.

As a reminder, you can park on the top level at the terminals for tomorrow, and for tomorrow only at no cost.

Thank you for your service,

Gary Renfrow

DFSD

A Message From DFSD Gary Renfrow

Good afternoon Team JFK,

We continue to reach out to everyone for accountability and damage assessment. Communications remains a significant challenge, so if you receive this email and have not spoken with our Coordination Center or another representative in the last 24 hours, please call them at 718-917-3925/3929. Many of you have been contacted several times…we apologize for the inconvenience, but will continue to reach out over the next couple of days.

Everyone should plan on reporting for work at your normally scheduled hours tomorrow, Wednesday 10/31/2012. If you are not scheduled, but are able and willing to work please call the Coordination Center to volunteer. For those that report, there will likely be considerable opportunity for overtime over the next couple of days. Also, for tomorrow the Port Authority is permitting us to use Terminal Parking instead of long term. For those that make it in on Mass Transit, there will be a shuttle bus running from the long term lot to the terminals since the Air Train is down (and will likely be down for the next few days).

We fully understand that some of you simply will not be able to make it in due to storm damage and limited transportation. Please take care of yourselves and your family, and let us know what your needs and limitations are as soon as possible.

To stay updated on JFK’s status please check the Blog:

http://tsajfkemergencystatus.blogspot.com/

Thank you for your service,

DFSD Gary Renfrow

Message From JFK Coordination Center

Hello Team JFK,

At this time we are reaching out to all for Accountability and Damage assessment.

Everyone should plan on reporting for work at normal schedule hours for tomorrow 10/31/2012.

We fully understand that there are some staff that  simply will not be able to make it in due to storm damage and limited transportation.

There will be liberal use of overtime to fill the gaps. 

We are looking for volunteers  to potentially report for some operations late this afternoon….

Let your supervisors Know if you are willing and able. 

To stay updated on JFK’s status please check the Blog (link below)

http://tsajfkemergencystatus.blogspot.com/

***A Message from DFSD Renfrow 10/29/12 NEW***

Good evening Team JFK:

As the storm peaks, our thoughts are with you and your families…please take care of yourselves first and foremost.

Do not report to work tomorrow (Tuesday Oct. 30th) – instead, I ask that you all make contact with your supervisors as soon as able to report your personal status.

Some officers have volunteered for and will be on telephone standby at 1200 tomorrow, Tuesday Oct 30th, but the rest of you should stay in touch with your supervisors because things may improve very quickly, and the traffic will once again begin to flow into and out of JFK International. We will begin reaching out to everyone else again after the storm subsides. Also, continue to monitor the 

JFK website for the latest information: www.tsajfkemergencystatus.blogspot.com .

Most traffic will likely begin as normally scheduled on Wednesday (October 31st), but we will keep you advised.

Thanks for all that you do.

Honored to serve,

Gary Renfrow

Helpful Links and Websites

Here are a list of links and websites that may be helpful during the storm...

Port Authority Hurricane Sandy Information page

http://www.panynj.gov/alerts-advisories/inclement-weather.html?tabnum=1

MTA NYC Transit

http://www.mta.info/nyct/

NYC Severe Weather Site

http://www.nyc.gov/html/oem/html/nycsevereweather/weather_home.shtml

Nassau County OEM Page

http://www.nassaucountyny.gov/agencies/OEM/hurricane/documents/2012NEWHurricane.pdf

National Weather Service

http://www.weather.gov

Up to date NYC Closures

Hurricane Sandy closures

• Last Updated: 1:26 PM, October 29, 2012
• Posted: 11:13 AM, October 29, 2012

*TUNNELS: The Holland and Brooklyn Battery Park tunnels will close at 2 p.m. on Monday.

*BRIDGES: New York bridges are still open but could close at any moment if gusts reach 60 mph.

*ROADS: Cops shut down Cross Bay Boulevard between 163rd and 165th Avenues because even a light rain caused two-foot-high flooding. Flooding has also forced officials to close the Garden State Parkway in both directions south of the Atlantic City Expressway at Exit 38. Connecticut governor Dannel P. Malloy also ordered a ban on trucks and nonemergency vehicles from most highways beginning at 1 p.m. Monday.

*EVACUATIONS: "Zone A" was ordered to be evacuated by 7 p.m. Sunday night. The zone includes Battery Park City, the Lower East Side, parts of Brooklyn (including Red Hook and Coney Island), the Rockaways in Queens, City Island and parts of the South Bronx and Staten Island.

*HOSPITALS: Staten Island University Hospital, Coney Island Hospital, NYU Medical Center and Veterans Administration Medical Center are all in evacuation zones and have begun coordinating the transfer of patients as needed. Those with elective surgeries and stays should try to reschedule.

*SCHOOLS: All NYC schools were closed Monday and will be on Tuesday. All CUNY and NYU campuses were closed Monday and both schools have canceled all classes and campus activities for Tuesday as well. Columbia University was closed Monday and is still evaluating whether to open on Tuesday.

*TRANSIT: Subways, buses, Metro-North, LIRR, NJ Transit, PATH and Amtrak service across the Northeast are shut down, as is the Staten Island Ferry.

*AIRPORTS: City-area airports were still open late last night but were expecting only a handful of flights. Just about all flights today have been cancelled.

*HARBOR: The New York Harbor is closed to cruise ships

*COURTS: State courts in all five boroughs and in Nassau, Suffolk, Orange, Dutchess, Westchester and Putnam counties are closed except for arraignments and emergency applications.

*NYC GOVERNMENT OFFICES: City government offices were expected to be open. Mayor Bloomberg said city workers were supposed to show up.

*MOVIE THEATERS: Major movie-house chains, including AMC, Clearview and City Cinemas, also closed their theaters.

*LIBRARIES: All public libraries in the city are closed.

*LANDMARKS: The Statue of Liberty, Ellis Island and the 9/11 Memorial are closed.

*PARKS: Parks are closed until further notice.

*THEATERS: All Broadway and off-Broadway shows were cancelled last night and tonight.

*CASINOS: In New Jersey, Atlantic City’s 12 casinos are shuttered for only the fourth time in the 34-year history of legalized gambling there.

*WALL STREET: The New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq are closed.

*BANKS: Banks are closed

*PARKING: Alternate side-parking regulations are suspended citywide Monday and Tuesday. Parking meters are suspended citywide Monday and Tuesday.

*TRASH: There are no trash pickups in evacuation zones, but all other areas will have pickups as conditions allow.

***A Message from DFSD Gary Renfrow***

Team JFK,

-       Be advised that NO ONE is to report to work on Monday October 29^th unless they have been designated as skeleton crew by their Terminal Manager. 

-        We will let you know when to report to work on Tuesday in an update tomorrow evening (Monday, 29 Oct)

-       Please advise your Terminal Manager and the JFK Coordination Center if you plan to evacuate the area and keep them both advised with your contact information in all cases.

As we shut down this evening and into the morning, the priorities are:

1.      Preserve life and property

2.      Accountability

3.      Restoration of security services at JFK as soon as possible

Honored to serve,

Gary Renfrow

DFSD

JFK Coordination Center (718) 917-3810/3811

**Information about Monday Oct. 29th Schedule**

All,

This is the following procedure for Monday October 29th.

All officers...

Unless you have made prior arrangements with your Manager to work the skeleton crew,  DO NOT report to work. This goes for the AM and PM shifts.

JFK HQ will enact the phone tree Monday afternoon in regards to Tuesday's procedures.

AGAIN THIS IS ONLY IN EFFECT FOR MONDAY October 29th.

More information will be posted here as it becomes available.

Hurricane Sandy Update #8

BULLETIN
HURRICANE SANDY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  25A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182012
200 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...SANDY EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE FLOODING TO
THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND SOUND AND NEW YORK
HARBOR...
...WINDS FORECAST TO BE NEAR HURRICANE FORCE AT LANDFALL...

RE-TRANSMITTED

SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.8N 71.9W
ABOUT 270 MI...440 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 575 MI...930 KM S OF NEW YORK CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB...28.08 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE FEAR TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
* BERMUDA

IN ADDITION...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF
THE COAST BETWEEN CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA AND CHATHAM MASSACHUSETTS.
THIS INCLUDES THE MIDDLE AND UPPER CHESAPEAKE BAY...DELAWARE
BAY...AND THE COASTS OF THE NORTHERN DELMARVA PENINSULA...NEW
JERSEY...THE NEW YORK CITY AREA...LONG ISLAND...CONNECTICUT...AND
RHODE ISLAND.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED NORTH OF CHATHAM TO
MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS...THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY...AND
SOUTH OF CHINCOTEAGUE TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA...THE NORTHERN
ENDPOINT OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

OTHER COASTAL AND INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR
THESE AREAS. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...
AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 32.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.9 WEST. SANDY IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TO THE NORTH AND THEN
THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF SANDY IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR THE MID-ATLANTIC
COAST MONDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SANDY IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION INTO A FRONTAL OR WINTERTIME
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PRIOR TO LANDFALL.  HOWEVER...THIS TRANSITION
WILL NOT BE ACCOMPANIED BY A WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM...AND IN FACT
A LITTLE STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THIS PROCESS.  SANDY IS
EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AFTER MOVING INLAND.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
520 MILES...835 KM. AN AUTOMATED STATION AT CAPE HATTERAS RECENTLY
REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 49 MPH...80 KM/H...WITH A GUST TO 62
MPH...100 KM/H. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS HAVE NOW REACHED THE
MOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 951 MB...28.08 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OVER COASTAL
NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA.  GALE FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER
TODAY...AND REACH LONG ISLAND AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND BY MONDAY
MORNING. WINDS OF HURRICANE FORCE COULD REACH THE MID-ATLANTIC
STATES...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND...BY LATE MONDAY.

STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE
AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE
FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING
DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH
TIDE...

NC NORTH OF SURF CITY INCLUDING PAMLICO/ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...4 TO 6 FT
SE VA AND DELMARVA INCLUDING LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY...2 TO 4 FT
UPPER AND MIDDLE CHESAPEAKE BAY...1 TO 3 FT
LONG ISLAND SOUND...RARITAN BAY...AND NEW YORK HARBOR...6 TO 11 FT
ELSEWHERE FROM OCEAN CITY MD TO THE CT/RI BORDER...4 TO 8 FT
CT/RI BORDER TO THE SOUTH SHORE OF CAPE COD INCLUDING BUZZARDS
BAY AND NARRAGANSETT BAY...3 TO 6 FT

SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES.
GIVEN THE LARGE WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH SANDY...ELEVATED WATER
LEVELS COULD SPAN MULTIPLE TIDE CYCLES RESULTING IN REPEATED AND
EXTENDED PERIODS OF COASTAL AND BAYSIDE FLOODING.  IN ADDITION...
ELEVATED WATERS COULD OCCUR FAR REMOVED FROM THE CENTER OF SANDY.
FURTHERMORE...THESE CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR REGARDLESS OF WHETHER
SANDY IS A TROPICAL OR POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE.  FOR INFORMATION
SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER FAR
NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 8
INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
OVER PORTIONS OF THE MID ATLANTIC STATES...INCLUDING THE DELMARVA
PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE SOUTHERN TIER OF NEW YORK STATE
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH NEW ENGLAND.

SNOWFALL..SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 FEET ARE EXPECTED IN THE
MOUNTAINS OF WEST VIRGINIA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS TONIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. SNOWFALL OF 1 TO 2 FEET IS EXPECTED IN
THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA TO THE KENTUCKY BORDER...
WITH 12 TO 18 INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS NEAR THE
NORTH CAROLINA/TENNESSEE BORDER.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FROM FLORIDA THROUGH
THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND SPREAD INTO
THE NORTHEASTERN STATES LATER TODAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART